With a few tweets, President Donald Trump reversed what had been one of the biggest victories for transgender rights under President Barack Obama’s administration.
In July, Trump tweeted that he would ban trans military service. He argued, “Our military must be focused on decisive and overwhelming … victory and cannot be burdened with the tremendous medical costs and disruption that transgender in the military would entail.”
Trump’s move, which came exactly 69 years after President Harry Truman ordered the racial integration of the military, attempts to reverse a decision by the Obama administration. Last year, the Department of Defense announced it would begin undoing the military’s long-standing ban on openly serving trans troops.
It remains unclear how, exactly, Trump’s ban on trans service members will work — or if it will even be implemented. A day after Trump announced he’ll bring back the ban, the US Joint Chiefs of Staff reportedly told the military to wait until it receives official guidance from the president — instead of just a few tweets — before it changes the policy. It’s unclear when or if Trump will follow up on his tweets with that guidance.
The Twitter directive also faces uncertain legal ground. Two weeks after Trump’s tweets, five trans service members filed a lawsuit against the ban, arguing that it has “already resulted in immediate, concrete injury to Plaintiffs by unsettling and destabilizing plaintiffs’ reasonable expectation of continued service.” The lawsuit asks a federal court in Washington, DC, to block the ban’s implementation.
But if the ban goes forward, it could lead to some very ugly consequences: trans service members staying in the closet, even when it’s dangerous for their service and their personal health and safety; trans troops getting discharged or abused; and trans Americans more broadly receiving yet another signal that society still doesn’t accept or tolerate them.
Trump’s announcement led to quick condemnation from all sorts of groups, from civil rights organizations to the American Psychological Association to congressional Democrats and even some Republicans, including conservatives like Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT).
Senator Hatch’s full comments on the issue of transgender Americans in the military. #utpol pic.twitter.com/EDS6JRXJaj
— Senator Hatch Office (@senorrinhatch) July 26, 2017
Part of the problem for Trump is that his stated rationale for the ban is baseless. The empirical evidence, based on the experiences of countries from Israel to the UK to Canada, shows that allowing trans people to serve poses minimal to no costs in terms of finances or military readiness.
But that evidence may not matter much to Trump, because the real reasons for the renewed anti-trans ban are reportedly more political — about sticking it to Democrats and political correctness — than his public-facing reasons. To Trump, trans troops have just become political pawns for his broader efforts.
Trump is reimposing an old anti-trans military policy
The trans military service ban is a bit different from the “don’t ask, don’t tell” policy that the military used to stop gay and bisexual people from serving openly. “Don’t ask, don’t tell,” instituted in 1994, was an explicit policy that told gay and bisexual soldiers to stay quiet about their sexual orientation or risk discharge, while the original trans military service ban was a medical regulation that let commanders discharge trans troops almost at will.
As a 2014 report from the Palm Center explained, the ban, as with other forms of discrimination against trans people, was based on incorrect and outdated medical rationale. The concern was that a person’s gender dysphoria — a state of emotional distress caused by how someone’s body or the gender they were assigned at birth conflicts with their gender identity — may interfere with someone’s ability to serve, since it can lead to severe depression and anxiety. And treating those conditions, the argument went, would cost too much money and disrupt the military’s operations.
There were still trans people in the military, just as there were gay and bisexual people in the military during “don’t ask, don’t tell.” But the ban forced trans people into hiding — at times leading to absolutely miserable conditions.
Shane Ortega, a retired trans soldier who served in Iraq and Afghanistan while in the Marines and Army, compared it to having to be a spy in a foreign land. “Think about being an American spy in Russia and how difficult that would be,” he told me last year. “You have to be perfect in every sense of the word. You have to always question people around you. You can never relax. You have to always think ahead. And you have to always be observant and aware of yourself and your surroundings.”
This is especially tough in the military, which relies on trust and working together as a family so soldiers are comfortable literally protecting one another’s lives. “You never get to fulfill the authenticity of that bond,” Ortega said. “In high-kinetic situations where you’re exchanging rounds, you want to know the person standing next to you, because that’s all that counts at that moment.”
Given these concerns, the Obama administration moved to undo the ban on open trans military service in 2016. The Department of Defense argued at the time that it “must have access to 100 percent of America’s population for its all-volunteer force to be able to recruit from among the most highly qualified, and to retain them.”
Trump apparently wasn’t persuaded by the argument or the concerns behind it. In July, he attempted to resurrect the ban with just three tweets — arguing that letting trans people serve in the military would be too disruptive and costly, because they would require special care for trans-related medical issues.
Trump cited costs and military readiness to defend his decision, but the evidence is against him
The arguments raised by Trump, however, have been studied repeatedly. Researchers have found, looking particularly at the experiences of other countries like Israel and Canada where trans people serve openly, that lifting the US’s ban would have little to no effect on military readiness or costs.
The best evidence comes from a 2016 review of the research by the RAND Corporation. Here are the big takeaways from the report:
Trans people would make up a small part of the military — and few would seek out gender-affirming care. Based on RAND’s estimates, trans troops make up around 2,450 of the 1.3 million active-component service members — a fraction of a percent of the US military. While some trans service members would seek treatment, RAND pointed out that only a small subset would: “Estimates derived from survey data and private health insurance claims data indicate that, each year, between 29 and 129 service members in the active component will seek transition-related care that could disrupt their ability to deploy.”
As a result, trans service members would have little to no effect on military readiness. RAND concluded that “the readiness impact of transition-related treatment would lead to a loss of less than 0.0015 percent of total available labor-years in the active component.” In comparison, “in the Army alone, approximately 50,000 active-component personnel were ineligible to deploy in 2015 for various legal, medical, or administrative reasons — a number amounting to around 14 percent of the active component.”
Trans-related treatment would also cost the military very little. RAND found, “Using private health insurance claims data to estimate the cost of extending gender transition–related health care coverage to transgender personnel indicated that active-component health care costs would increase by between $2.4 million and $8.4 million annually, representing a 0.04- to 0.13-percent increase in active-component health care expenditures.”
This is the kind of evidence that led the Obama administration to conclude it could allow trans people to serve openly — it would slightly expand the recruitment pool, while posing minimal to no costs and hurdles. Yet Trump, citing no evidence of his own, apparently decided to undo all of that progress.
Trump’s decision was reportedly more about politics than policy
Quickly after Trump made his announcement, details started leaking out about what the real reason for the move — which came as a shock to many in Washington — was.
According to a report from Rachael Bade and Josh Dawsey at Politico, Republican hardliners in the House at first asked Defense Secretary James Mattis to immediately ban Pentagon payments for gender-affirming surgeries. Mattis refused, arguing against acting so quickly.
The same hardliners then went to Trump. To their surprise, Trump didn’t just ban such payments — he decided to ban all trans service members too. “This is like someone told the White House to light a candle on the table and the [White House] set the whole table on fire,” a senior House Republican aide told Politico.
The president moved so quickly, in fact, that members of the military were apparently not alerted about the policy change before Trump’s tweets. Trump also never sent out an official guidance securing the change, leaving the military unable to actually implement the policy so far.
And neither the White House nor the military seems to have any idea how Trump’s ban would be implemented — particularly whether it will lead to the immediate discharge of trans service members. At a daily press briefing on the day of Trump’s tweets, White House spokesperson Sarah Huckabee Sanders said, “That’s something that the Department of Defense and the White House will have to work together as implementation takes place and is done so lawfully.”
So why was Trump so eager for this fight? According to Politico, the House Republicans who went to Trump reportedly threatened to torpedo plans for more military spending and funding for the wall at the US-Mexico border if he didn’t comply. Trump apparently saw that as too big of a threat to his policy agenda.
One Trump administration official told Jonathan Swan at Axios that the move was also politically motivated: “This forces Democrats in Rust Belt states like Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin to take complete ownership of this issue. How will the blue collar voters in these states respond when senators up for re-election in 2018 like Debbie Stabenow are forced to make their opposition to this a key plank of their campaigns?”
Similarly, Politico reported that “one White House official said the decision would be ‘seen as common-sense’ by millions — though likely vociferously protested by others.”
“It’s not the worst thing in the world to have this fight,” the official said.
In short, this seems more a political move — more about shoring up support among Trump’s base and for his defense and wall plans than the costs that Trump tweeted about. Trump is effectively sacrificing trans people’s rights because he sees it as politically expedient.
Trump keeps letting down LGBTQ people
On a broader level, this is just the latest disappointing news that LGBTQ people have received from the Trump administration.
On the campaign trail, Trump said he would be different — the first Republican president to embrace LGBTQ people. He said the key acronym (“L, G, B, T … Q”) at the 2016 Republican convention. He held up a Pride flag at a campaign event. He initially defended the right of Caitlyn Jenner, a transgender woman, to use the bathroom that aligns with her gender identity. He tweeted, “Thank you to the LGBT community! I will fight for you while Hillary brings in more people that will threaten your freedoms and beliefs.”
Yet while he decided to maintain workplace protections against discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity for federal employees and contractors, the rest of his personnel and policy actions have signaled an anti-LGBTQ approach.
For one, the administration is largely made up of politicians who have been staunchly anti-LGBTQ for their whole public careers, like Vice President Mike Pence and Attorney General Jeff Sessions. Both men have long histories in Congress of opposing civil rights measures for LGBTQ people, including workplace protections and hate crime laws — yet they have major roles in shaping the administration’s agenda. Just a day before Trump tweeted his decision to ban trans soldiers, Foreign Policy reported that Pence was working to reverse the Obama administration’s trans-friendly policies.
Earlier this year, the Trump administration also rescinded transgender protections for kids in federally funded schools. That reversed a guidance from the Obama administration that asked publicly funded K-12 schools to respect and protect trans students’ rights, including their ability to use the bathroom and locker room that align with their gender identity.
Trump also seems ready to go even further. He has said, for example, that he would support the First Amendment Defense Act, which would allow discrimination against LGBTQ people on a religious basis. And there have long been rumors — although they have yet to be substantiated — that Trump will sign a “religious freedom” order that will allow anti-LGBTQ discrimination.
Altogether, this paints a very different picture of Trump than we saw on the campaign trail. And more than just showing Trump’s dishonesty, the shift threatens the rights of millions of LGBTQ Americans — including those willing to sacrifice their lives in service of their country.
Vox · by German Lopez · July 26, 2017